There is one question that people are asking today, when all is said and done and the 2011 tournament is over with, who is the team that will be shown at the end of "One Shining Moment"? Who will be hoisting up the plaque and saying, with all the truth in the world, we are number one? We know it will either be Butler or Connecticut, teams that if you put $10 on before the season started you are in line to make a pretty good profit from, because no matter what success they achieved this year, national champions was not believed to be in the cards. So who is going to win, and why?
When looking at Butler you know it has to happen on the defensive end, because the athletes that Connecticut has, more so than a team like Pittsburgh from the Big East that Butler beat, are going to be able to defend the Bulldogs really well. Guys like Zach Hahn, Chase Stigall, and Andrew Smith are going to find it tough to score tonight. Then of course all the attention is going to be on Shelvin Mack and Matt Howard anyways. On that defensive end though, they can keep this game low scoring, low possession, and really make it a grind it out game that UConn would prefer to stay away from. They will have to decide if they are going to let Kemba Walker try and do his thing, and put their best defenders elsewhere like on Jeremy Lamb, or Shabazz Napier when he is in.
Now on offense they need Mack to really get started early, because when he starts off well they put themselves in a better position to win, stay out of early holes which they have usually had a tough time getting out of, despite what happened in the Florida game. They also need those roles players to continue to show up like they have been. Shawn Vanzant has really hit big shots in this tournament, and probably having a good defender on him in Jeremy Lamb is going to limit his chances, and he will need to step up and take advantage of his openings. Khyle Marshall is an X-factor because he has come on in these last few games and really given them great energy off the bench, and more importantly offensive rebounds and extra possessions. He needs to come in and get those rebounds and extra possessions again, because Butler is going to need to control the ball and tempo of this game.
Connecticut has to have the guys down low step up, that is maybe their greatest advantage tonight besides Kemba, their size and athleticism advantage over Butler in the paint. Alex Oriakhi and Roscoe Smith have to control the paint, get rebounds, block shots, and really be a presence down there. They will also need to watch their turnovers, because easy buckets are not what you want to give up to a Butler team that prefers to execute in the half court, giving them easy transition baskets would be like charity. They have been good in the tournament about turning the ball over, but Saturday against Kentucky they struggled, and this is the biggest stage where nerves could certainly get the better of people. Then the obvious would be the scoring of Kemba and Lamb, they need both of them to really come through and dominate the way that they have all season and tournament long. They will need guys like Smith, Napier, Oriakhi and Jamal Coombs-Mcdaniel to step up and hit shots, maybe have a couple of them get double figures, but it will be on Kemba, as it has all year, to run this team and dominate this game.
When all is said and done the Huskies are too athletic on the defensive end, something that gave a lot of teams trouble in this tournament, their opponents averaging only 59 points against them, and they will be able to keep the Bulldogs in check, though Mack can shoot from anywhere and steps up in big games so he will cause problems. Kemba may get off to a slow start, and it will be close for most of the first half, but he and Lamb will get it going in the second and Connecticut will win, though Butler will keep it close as always with their fight, and determination. In the end though Connecticut will remain undefeated in the 2010-11 season against opponents outside of the Big East, and they will win their third championship this season, and third National Championship under Jim Calhoun.
Connecticut 67 Butler 56
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